IN-SILICO CLINICAL TRIAL SUITE • POPULATION-CALIBRATED EVIDENCE

Accelerate Clinical Trials With In-Silico Virtual Cohorts

Silicon Arm empowers biopharmaceutical sponsors, CROs, and academic investigators to virtually design, simulate, and stress-test clinical trial protocols against Indian biology before dosing physical patients — cutting timelines by 40% and replacing up to 50% of physical control arms.

CLINICAL CAPABILITIES

End-to-End In-Silico Trial Simulation Architecture

Select any clinical module to test real-time statistical powering, indication expansion, or virtual control arms.

CDSCO & ICH E6(R2) AUDITABLE
MODULE 01
Protocol Optimizer
Power & Sample Sizing
MODULE 02
🎯
Indication Selection
Multi-Disease Expansion
MODULE 03
📊
TPP Modeling
Benchmark vs SOC
MODULE 04
🛡️
Technical Success (PTS)
Bayesian Decision Bounds
MODULE 05
👥
Virtual Control Arms
50% Cohort Cut

Protocol Design & Statistical Power Optimizer

More than 80% of clinical trials experience enrollment delays or underpowered endpoints. Silicon Arm simulates patient enrollment, dropout kinetics, and primary efficacy endpoints to optimize trial powering.

Dynamic Power & Sample Sizing Engine

Adjust protocol parameters on the right to observe simulated statistical power, required physical cohort sizes, and projected clinical trial timelines calibrated against Indian clinical attrition rates.

  • Inclusion/Exclusion Sensitivity: Identifies overly restrictive criteria that choke enrollment without conferring safety advantages.
  • Interim Futility Boundaries: O'Brien-Fleming stopping boundaries evaluated over 10,000 in-silico trial runs.
  • Regulatory-Compliant Powering: Guarantees $\ge 90\%$ statistical power while saving months of patient recruitment.
Interactive Trial Power Simulator POWER: 91.4% (PASS)
Expected Effect Size (Δ%): 25%
10% (Modest)50% (Breakthrough)
Physical Patient Enrollment Target: 400 Patients
150 Subjects1,000 Subjects
Simulated Statistical Power (1 - β)
91.4%
Threshold ≥ 80% Satisfied
Projected Trial Duration
21 Months
↓ 15 Months Faster
Estimated Cost Savings
₹14.2 Cr
Control arm optimization
Feasibility Confidence
98.2%
Indian site recruitment
Simulated Protocol Timeline vs Traditional Standard RCT:
Standard Physical RCT:
36 Months (1:1 Physical Controls)
Silicon Arm In-Silico:
21 Months (15 Months Saved)

Indication Selection & Multi-Disease Expansion Matrix

Expand pipeline value by evaluating candidate assets across multiple Indian disease populations in-silico before making physical Phase II capital commitments.

Disease Indication Clinical Deficit in India In-Silico Simulation Solution Program Status & Direct Subpage
NAFLD / NASH Metabolic Liver Disease 38–40% national prevalence; silent progression to cirrhosis. Cost-sensitive triage (θ*=0.40), biomarker attributions, 5-year survival. Preliminary Results Live →
Tuberculosis (TB) Pulmonary & MDR-TB Regimens 27% global burden; world's highest count of multi-drug resistant cases. Bactericidal kill-curves, cavitary progression, synthetic control cohorts. Explore TB Testing Arm →
Type 2 Diabetes Metabolic & Cardiorenal Axis 101M diagnosed; thin-fat phenotype with premature beta-cell decay. eGFR decay deceleration, liver-pancreas crosstalk, MACE reduction. Explore Diabetes Axis →
Oncology & Immuno-Oncology Collaborative Pipeline Distinct Indian genomic mutational profiles & delayed detection. Tumor microenvironment kinetics & synthetic checkpoint response arms. Partner to Co-Develop
Cardiovascular & Heart Failure Collaborative Pipeline Early-onset coronary artery disease (CAD) 1–2 decades ahead of global baselines. Hemodynamic in-silico simulation & HFpEF clinical endpoint modeling. Partner to Co-Develop
Autoimmune & Rare Metabolic Collaborative Pipeline Extremely sparse physical cohorts making traditional RCTs near impossible. Microsimulation from scarce clinical priors with conformal uncertainty. Partner to Co-Develop

Target Product Profile (TPP) Modeling & Benchmark Clearances

Compare candidate molecules against current standard-of-care baselines across efficacy, safety, and pharmacokinetic clearance margins.

Mechanistic Clearance & Adverse Event Margins

By coupling ordinary differential equation (ODE) pharmacokinetics with semi-Markov disease hazard transitions, Silicon Arm benchmarks your candidate molecule against competitor assets across all key clinical endpoints.

  • Biomarker Clearance Velocity: Simulates relative drops in transaminases (ALT/AST), serum bilirubin, sputum conversion, or HbA1c.
  • Therapeutic Window Optimization: Evaluates therapeutic index across patient body surface area and renal function strata.
  • Target Product Profile Scorecard: Generates auditable comparative tables for investment committee reviews.
TPP Benchmark: Candidate vs SOC +38.4% SUPERIORITY
Primary Efficacy Endpoint (Fibrosis Resolution) 84.2% vs 61.0% (SOC)
Biomarker Clearance Velocity -72% vs -41% (SOC)
Safety Margin / Low AE Tolerability 94.8% vs 82.3% (SOC)
Dosing Regimen Compliance Feasibility Once Daily vs Twice Daily

Probability of Technical Success (PTS) Bayesian Engine

Synthesize mechanistic target engagement, Phase II biomarker surrogate response, and 5-year progression hazard bounds to compute real technical success probabilities before capital allocation.

Bayesian Evidence Synthesis

Traditional PTS estimates rely on subjective survey heuristics. Silicon Arm computes objective Bayesian posterior success probabilities conditioned on simulated Indian population response variance.

PTS = ∫ P(Success | θ) • P(θ | Researched Indian Priors) dθ

Eliminates blind capital risk by identifying fatal protocol flaws or insufficient target engagement early in the preclinical-to-clinical transition.

Calculated Probability of Technical Success (PTS)
78.4%
HIGH PROBABILITY OF PHASE III SUCCESS
Preclinical Target Engagement Prior P(θ): 85%
Target Engagement (PK/PD): 92.6% Confidence
Biomarker Deceleration: 74.1% Significant

Synthetic Virtual Control Arms & Ethical Trial Design

Assigning critically ill patients to failing physical placebos or standard-of-care controls causes severe ethical resistance and high loss-to-follow-up. Silicon Arm replaces up to 50% of physical control cohorts with population-calibrated virtual patients.

TRADITIONAL PHYSICAL RCT (1:1 RATIO)

High Attrition & Ethical Dilemma

In a standard 600-patient trial, 300 vulnerable subjects receive inactive placebo or failing standard therapy for 18–24 months. Dropout rates reach 35%, delaying drug availability.

• Physical Patients Required: 600 Patients
• Trial Duration: 36–48 Months
• Operational Budget: ₹32–₹45 Cr
SILICON ARM HYBRID TRIAL (2:1 HYBRID)

Virtual Control Arm Replacement

Enrolling 300 active patients and only 100 physical control patients, augmented by 200 population-calibrated virtual controls with matching baseline covariates and Weibull hazard priors.

• Physical Patients Required: 400 Patients (↓ 33–50%)
• Trial Duration: 21 Months (↓ 40% Faster)
• Operational Budget: ₹18–₹24 Cr (↓ ₹14+ Cr Saved)

How We Collaborate: 4-Phase Co-Development Framework

PHASE 01
Data Harmonization
Secure ingestion of clinical records under strict DPDP compliance and zero-knowledge de-identification protocols.
PHASE 02
Prior Calibration
Adapting mechanistic ODE models and multi-state Semi-Markov Weibull distributions to candidate molecule biology.
PHASE 03
In-Silico Simulation
Simulating tens of thousands of virtual patient trial executions across varied dosing and synthetic control sizes.
PHASE 04
Regulatory Package
Generating mathematically auditable, transparent evidence dossiers for CDSCO and ethics committee protocol justifications.
Initiate Trial Co-Development or Explore 5-Layer Technology Stack →
Direct Scientific Collaboration: pabi@silico-arm.in